PECOTA, which stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, is BP’s proprietary system that projects player and team performance PECOTA is a system that takes a player’s past ...

as PECOTA has the Bombers at 89.7 wins in 2025, just above the O’s and their projected 89.2 wins and tops in the AL. Baltimore took a step back last year after eclipsing 100 wins in 2023 ...

Last year’s PECOTA projections from Baseball Prospectus were ... atop the American League East after a disastrous season in 2023. The Yankees went on to win 94 games. They won the division.

Since the Yankees lost Gerrit Cole for the entire season, projections of the AL East have shifted dramatically.