Bank of England preview: Setting policy in the era of Trump
The market is fully priced for a rate cut from the BOE, with a 98% chance of a cut currently priced in by the GBP overnight index swaps market. What the BOE’s updated forecasts tell us will determine if the OIS market is right to expect a further 2 cuts later this year, or if the market is underpricing the prospect of further cuts from the BOE.